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First Snow | More to Come for Monday

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Happy Friday Eve and Happy First Snow!

Hello to all..

..Light accumulating snowfall likely across much of Southern New England tonight
into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start from west to east over much of
Southern New England as rain changing to snow with a brief burst of heavier snow
possible during the overnight in the west and near the Friday Morning commute
potentially impacting the commute in eastern areas. Total snowfall of a coating-2″
is expected area wide with the potential of 2-4″ amounts over portions of
North-Central Rhode Island, Northeast Connecticut and portions of Central-Southern
Worcester, Western-Central Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Northwest Plymouth Counties
of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this event looking for snowfall reports early
Friday Morning across the area. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM
this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Storm Coordination Message #3

..Coastal Storm On Track with strongest winds and another round of coastal flooding slated for Sunday Morning lasting into afternoon with a period of heavy rainfall and the possibility of some snow that could accumulate but the snow forecast is highly uncertain..

..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands and is expanded to Eastern Essex County through 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..

..A Wind Advisory is in effect through 6 PM Sunday for the remainder of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts and isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..

..A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts through 1000 AM Sunday for moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide and a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1000 AM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday..

Over the course of Saturday, wind gusts in the 50-58 MPH range and isolated tree and wire damage have been reported. Pockets of coastal flooding were reported particularly over portions of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts from Scituate through Plymouth. Conditions will worsen as we get towards Sunday Morning as the wind speeds increase and another round of precipitation and another round of coastal flooding expected for the Sunday Morning high tide. The headlines of this coordination message depict the threats well. Below is the link to the latest Local Storm Report:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

There is now an uncertain risk for the heavy rainfall that will start overnight to mix with and change to a wet snow especially in parts of Eastern and Central Massachusetts north and west of Boston. Factors regarding the snowfall include:

1.) Where does a heavy band of precipitation develop as the storm intensifies and does that allow for cooling for snow and for the snow to accumulate.

2.) The ground temperatures for any snow to accumulate.

3.) Air temperatures and any cooling caused by the heavy precipitation.

4.) Wind direction and the ability for cold air to rush in and overlap with the heavy band of precipitation.

There have been reports this evening of wet snow flakes mixing in with the rain. This may be an indicator of the potential for colder air to lock in with a heavier band of precipitation but there remains high uncertainties in this scenario and this will be monitored closely when Amateur Radio Ops resume at NWS Taunton at 5 AM Sunday Morning.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday. This will be the last complete coordination message.

 

 

..Coastal Storm to Impact the Region with strong to damaging winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts and heavy rainfall in Eastern New England with the possibility of precipitation ending as a brief period of light wet snow. Main Storm Impacts Saturday late afternoon through Sunday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 5 PM Saturday to 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Morning. In the watch area, sustained winds of 20-30 MPH are expected with wind gusts to at least 50 MPH with the potential for winds to gust to greater than 58 MPH and higher sustained winds but this is not yet certain and winds may fall just below this criteria. Regardless, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible in the High Wind Watch area..
..Strong winds will potentially affect portions of Western and Central New England on Sunday as the storm departs and the gradient tightens and cold air continues moves into the region..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts from Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning for minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Saturday Evening and Sunday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 PM Saturday lasting through late evening and could potentially reactivate on Sunday for the strong to damaging wind potential..

A coastal storm will track southeast of New England but close enough to cause strong to damaging winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts and heavy rainfall in Eastern New England. The rain may end as a brief period of light wet snow but the real hazards from this storm system are the strong to damaging winds, minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding and heavy rainfall. Main storm impacts are Saturday late afternoon through Sunday Morning. The headlines denote the current storm hazards. It is noted that for western and central portions of Southern New England, the potential exists for strong winds during the day Sunday which may prompt the issuance of wind advisories in future forecasts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 PM Saturday lasting through late evening and could potentially reactivate on Sunday for the strong to damaging wind potential. Another coordination message will be issued by 830 AM Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

Fall peek in New England

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