• Hurricane Jose Coordination Message #6

    ..Confidence continues in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm.. 

    ..A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Hull Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-60 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts possible and 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion..

    ..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for Barnstable and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for 2-5″ of rain with isolated higher amounts..

    Continue reading  Post ID 91682


  • SKYWARN_Announce] Hurricane Jose Coordination Message #5

    ..Confidence has grown further in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm..

    ..A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect from Hull Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-60 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts possible and 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion.

    ..Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should closely monitor the progress of Jose as he may bring wind gusts in the 30-40 MPH range and some rainfall which may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage across areas north and west of the current Tropical Storm Warning as well as minor coastal flooding issues in coastal areas north of the Tropical Storm Warning..

    ..A High Surf Advisory remains in effect through 800 PM Monday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island, Southern Bristol County, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. This advisory will likely be extended over the next few days in both time and areal coverage as Jose approaches Southern New England..

    ..Hurricane Jose is gradually weakening but has a large storm envelope and it will continue to become a larger system with an expanding rain and wind field and will continue to travel northward for the next couple of days and then turn toward the northeast and east around the 40 North/70 West benchmark later Tuesday Night and Wednesday..

    ..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of both Jose and Maria. These hurricane nets have now activated for Maria and her impact on the Caribbean islands Monday Afternoon through Wednesday and will continue to monitor the progress of Jose. Check out the Hurricane Watch Net web site at http://www.hwn.org and the VoIP Hurricane Net web site at http://www.voipwx.net for more information..

    ..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely some time late Tuesday into Wednesday Night with direct impacts in the tropical storm warning area similar to a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type system now likely..

    Hurricane Jose is currently a 75 MPH category-1 hurricane and has continues its northward motion. Jose will gradually weaken and go below hurricane strength in the next day or two but Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field can continue to expand over the next few days. Jose will continue to track towards the north over the next day or two and then shift to the north-northeast and east and southeast in the 2-5 day period. Model guidance today has continued to hover around the 40 North/70 West benchmark or slightly to the west and north of the benchmark while a few models are little south and east of the benchmark. Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect for Southeast New England from Hull Massachusetts to Watch Hill Rhode Island along with high surf advisories as indicated in the headlines and the current expected conditions are that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter as indicated in the headlines of this message. Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should monitor the progress of Jose as areas just to the northwest of the Tropical Storm Warning could see minor coastal flooding at the coast and wind gusts up to 40 MPH with some rain which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Factors that are still in play with Jose include the following:

    1.) The size of Jose has expanded and will continue to expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.

    2.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Eastern New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Jose along with minor coastal flooding along the north shore of Massachusetts.

    Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should be reviewing and implementing their preparedness measures for tropical storm conditions in and near the Tropical Storm Warning area. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:


  • Jose Regains Hurricane Status

     

    ..Hurricane Jose is expected to continue to at least gradually intensify or become a larger system and he is now moving more northward at this time. This northward motion is expected to continue over the next three days parallel to the US East Coast followed by a northeast and possibly eastward motion in 3-5 days. As the wind field expands, the possibility of direct impacts remain in Southern New England in the late Tuesday to Wednesday Night timeframe. Latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory mentions interests from North Carolina northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose with Tropical Storm Watches potentially posted for parts of this area in the next day or two..

    ..A High Surf Advisory is now in effect from 700 AM to 800 PM Sunday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island, Southern Bristol County, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. This advisory will likely be extended over the next few days in both time and areal coverage as Jose approaches Southern New England..

    ..The extent on specifics of other direct impacts besides swells and rip currents along the New England Coast remain uncertain but heavy rain, strong winds, Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are possible and the most likely scenario at this time understanding uncertainty remains is the potential for tropical storm force conditions for Southeast New England especially for Cape Cod and the Islands..
    ..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of Jose. Since Jose is not near land, they are not active at this time. As an aside, these hurricane nets may need to activate for Maria and her impact on the Caribbean islands Monday Evening through Wednesday..
    ..Interests in Southern New England should continue to monitor the progress of Hurricane Jose. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks continue the monitoring process. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible some time late Tuesday into Wednesday Night presuming direct impacts of some kind into Southern New England occur and the most likely scenario at this time is tropical storm force conditions in Southeast New England particularly Cape Cod and the Islands though there remains uncertainty with track and the wind field into this region..

    Hurricane Jose is currently a 80 MPH category-1 hurricane and is now on the move to the north. Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field is expected to continue to expand over the next few days. Jose is expected to continue to track towards the north with some increase in forward speed and should at least gradually intensify or become an even larger storm system over the next few days. Model guidance today has shifted and congealed around a track around the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Some models are a little north and west of the benchmark while other models are a little south and east of the benchmark. The NHC advisory mentions interests from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose and that tropical storm watches could potentially be posted for parts of this area in the next day or two. A High Surf Advisory is now in effect for portions of South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Massachusetts and this is likely to continue to be posted over the next few days as swell and rip currents from Jose begin and continue to effect the coastline. The model guidance consensus has improved since yesterday implying a potential for tropical storm conditions in the form of heavy rain, gusty winds and coastal flooding in Southeast New England especially for Cape Cod and the Islands pending the track, size and structure of Jose. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ continues to cover portions of Southern New England with the latest forecast package with Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts at most risk for direct impacts currently with tropical storm force conditions. The track guidance could still shift further to the east or closer to the coast in the next several updates as we are still 4 days away so there remains a level of uncertainty with conditions in the region. A few other key items for consideration as we continue to monitor Jose’s progress:

    1.) Jose will strengthen a bit over the weekend and then gradually weaken as it moves up to New England. Models are varying the speed of Jose on his closest approach to the region. This will effect ultimate direct impacts on weather in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe presuming a close enough track to affect portions of Southern New England.

    2.) The size of Jose will expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system. It is noted from the 500 PM EDT Saturday 9/16/17 advisory that the wind field is expanding.

    3.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Southeast New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Hurricane Jose.

    Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

    Continue reading  Post ID 91682


  • WATCH: Scuba Diver Saved During Hurricane Irma Conditions

    RIVIERA BEACH, Fla. (CBS 12) — As the effects of Hurricane Irma strengthened in Palm Beach County, a scuba diver was reported trapped in rough waters Sunday afternoon, according to Riviera Beach Fire Rescue.

    Amazingly enough, the rescue of that diver was filmed from a nearby condo.

    Davis Ramsey captured two individuals lending aid to a man in a scuba suit from his view at Point Condominiums in Riviera Beach.

    It appears they were hauling the individual in with the help of some rope.

    The video shows the waves had a violent chop as the Irma prepared to make landfall in Florida.

    The diver struggled to hold on to the rope but was able to hold on.

    RBFR send out a statement that the diver had been transported to a shelter in Riviera Beach and was in good condition.